Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 0.418540 0.463451 0.511745 0.567632 0.630644 0.699625 0.781041
2025-04-20 0.349104 0.411673 0.483985 0.574156 0.684166 0.814749 0.982575
2025-04-27 0.310093 0.381157 0.467320 0.580324 0.725864 0.908671 1.158314
2025-05-04 0.281451 0.357648 0.453676 0.584915 0.761677 0.994461 1.329168
2025-05-11 0.257933 0.337104 0.440207 0.586184 0.790570 1.071130 1.493411
2025-05-18 0.240715 0.322579 0.432369 0.592854 0.825638 1.157611 1.679014
2025-05-25 0.219854 0.300934 0.412421 0.579899 0.830353 1.199591 1.801663
2025-06-01 0.208462 0.291313 0.408058 0.588235 0.865986 1.289352 2.006393
2025-06-08 0.194884 0.277339 0.396060 0.583727 0.880978 1.347871 2.166393
2025-06-15 0.185321 0.268406 0.390562 0.588222 0.909748 1.429982 2.373950
2025-06-22 0.173416 0.255053 0.377301 0.579224 0.915537 1.474312 2.520138
2025-06-29 0.163764 0.244436 0.367388 0.574562 0.927638 1.529693 2.691530
2025-07-06 0.150620 0.227734 0.347097 0.551783 0.907792 1.529044 2.761307
2025-07-13 0.144733 0.222127 0.344094 0.557571 0.937842 1.619793 3.017366
2025-07-20 0.139399 0.217012 0.341445 0.563572 0.968496 1.714215 3.292277
2025-07-27 0.134195 0.211748 0.338128 0.568009 0.996450 1.805970 3.573322
2025-08-03 0.128811 0.205832 0.333279 0.569236 1.018315 1.887800 3.843756
2025-08-10 0.124737 0.201859 0.331445 0.575685 1.050516 1.993054 4.179637
2025-08-17 0.117808 0.192599 0.319840 0.563159 1.044475 2.019610 4.340076
2025-08-24 0.114656 0.189698 0.319238 0.571219 1.080004 2.136153 4.727166
2025-08-31 0.109814 0.183551 0.312438 0.566860 1.089767 2.198419 4.991781
2025-09-07 0.106571 0.180062 0.310225 0.571206 1.117843 2.303369 5.377742
2025-09-14 0.101696 0.173376 0.301742 0.562507 1.117465 2.344344 5.605036